DEPARTMENT OF METEOROLOGY AND HYDROLOGY (MYANMAR)

 

(19.10.2017): According to the observations at (06:30)hrs M.S.T today, the low pressure area over the west central Bay of Bengal still persists. It is forecast to further intensify into a depression during next (24)hrs. Weather is partly cloudy over the south Bay and cloudy over the Andaman Sea and elsewhere over the Bay of Bengal.

El Nino & La Nina News

WMO El Niño/La Niña Update

7 July 2017

Current Situation and Outlook 

ENSO neutral conditions currently prevail in the tropical Pacific Ocean, despite sea surface temperatures being near the El Niño threshold. Most climate models surveyed indicate that ENSO-neutral conditions will continue through July-September 2017, followed by a 50-60% chance of a continuation of ENSO-neutral during the subsequent months of 2017. The development of El Niño conditions is slightly less likely, while the emergence of La Niña appears unlikely. National Meteorological and Hydrological Services will continue to closely monitor changes in the state of ENSO over the coming months.

 

CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER/NCEP/NWS   

10 August 2017

ENSO Alert System Status

ENSO-neutral is favored (~85% chance during Jul-Sep, decreasing to ~55% during Dec-Feb) through the Northern Hemisphere winter 2017-18.